How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is QPR, at 49.4%. The other outcomes represent 50.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 49.4% · Draw: 26.7% · Away win: 23.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: QPR 1830; Preston 1631. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #670 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Championship · Saturday, Sep 19 2026
· 14:00
QPR
Elo 1830
2
-
2
Preston
Elo 1631
FT
HT 0-2
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Elo Advantage
+199
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
QPR1830
Preston1631
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0QPR
2Draws
0Preston
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
49% conf.
WRONG
Home
49%
@ 1.73
Draw
27%
@ 3.76
Away
24%
@ 4.42
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
@ 1.75
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Clean Sheet
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Double Chance 1X
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
@ 1.18
No
20%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
42%
No
58%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
42%
@ 2.27
Draw
40%
@ 2.25
Away
17%
@ 4.66
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
@ 1.34
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
@ 1.23
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
@ 1.80
No
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Win to Nil
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.