How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Alfreton Town, at 42.8%. The other outcomes represent 57.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 42.8% · Draw: 23.9% · Away win: 33.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Alfreton Town 1557; Guiseley AFC 1666. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Non League Premier - Northern · Tuesday, Sep 29 2026
· 18:45
Alfreton Town
Elo 1557
vs
Guiseley AFC
Elo 1666
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
-109
Elo rating comparison
Alfreton Town1557
Guiseley AFC1666
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Alfreton Town
—Draws
—Guiseley AFC
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
43% conf.
Home
43%
Draw
24%
Away
33%
Both Teams to Score
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
59% conf.
Yes
59%
No
41%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
Home
33%
Draw
41%
Away
26%
HT Both Teams Score
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
67% conf.
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 3.5 Goals
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.