How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Gainsborough Trinity, at 36.6%. The other outcomes represent 63.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 34.8% · Draw: 28.6% · Away win: 36.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Warrington Town 1493; Gainsborough Trinity 1606. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Non League Premier - Northern · Tuesday, Sep 29 2026
· 18:45
Warrington Town
Elo 1493
vs
Gainsborough Trinity
Elo 1606
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Elo Advantage
-113
H2H (1)
0H
0D
1A
Elo rating comparison
Warrington Town1493
Gainsborough Trinity1606
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Warrington Town
0Draws
1Gainsborough Trinity
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
37% conf.
Home
35%
Draw
29%
Away
37%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
68% conf.
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Clean Sheet
84% conf.
Yes
16%
No
84%
Double Chance 1X
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Double Chance X2
66% conf.
Yes
66%
No
34%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
Home
23%
Draw
44%
Away
33%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
64% conf.
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.