How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is MB Rouisset, at 37.8%. The other outcomes represent 62.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 37.8% · Draw: 29.9% · Away win: 32.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: MB Rouisset 1703; USM Alger 1834. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ligue 1 · Thursday, Oct 8 2026
· 17:00
MB Rouisset
Elo 1703
1
-
0
USM Alger
Elo 1834
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Elo Advantage
-131
H2H (4)
4H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
MB Rouisset1703
USM Alger1834
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4MB Rouisset
0Draws
0USM Alger
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
38% conf.
CORRECT
Home
38%
Draw
30%
Away
32%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
62%
No
38%
Half-Time Result
50% conf.
CORRECT
Home
27%
Draw
50%
Away
23%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
HT Over 1.5
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Over 1.5 Goals
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 3.5 Goals
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.