How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Fortaleza U20, at 43.4%. The other outcomes represent 56.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 43.4% · Draw: 22.5% · Away win: 34.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Fortaleza U20 1760; Ceará U20 1811. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Cearense U20 · Thursday, Oct 1 2026
· 22:00
Fortaleza U20
Elo 1760
vs
Ceará U20
Elo 1811
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-51
H2H (8)
0H
8D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Fortaleza U201760
Ceará U201811
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Fortaleza U20
8Draws
0Ceará U20
8 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
43% conf.
Home
43%
Draw
22%
Away
34%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Clean Sheet
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
Home
35%
Draw
42%
Away
23%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
Yes
62%
No
38%
Over 3.5 Goals
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.