How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Fortuna Köln II, at 52.0%. The other outcomes represent 48.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 52% · Draw: 20.8% · Away win: 27.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Fortuna Köln II 1553; TuS BW Königsdorf 1475. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 5–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Oberliga - Mittelrhein · Wednesday, Oct 28 2026
· 18:30
Fortuna Köln II
Elo 1553
5
-
2
TuS BW Königsdorf
Elo 1475
FT
HT 3-2
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Elo Advantage
+78
H2H (3)
1H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Fortuna Köln II1553
TuS BW Königsdorf1475
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
1Fortuna Köln II
0Draws
2TuS BW Königsdorf
3 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
52% conf.
CORRECT
Home
52%
Draw
21%
Away
27%
Both Teams to Score
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Away Clean Sheet
91% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
9%
No
91%
Home Clean Sheet
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
CORRECT
Home
47%
Draw
32%
Away
22%
HT Both Teams Score
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
30%
No
70%
HT Over 0.5
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
HT Over 1.5
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
No
29%
Over 3.5 Goals
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.