How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is AVS, at 44.4%. The other outcomes represent 55.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 32.4% · Draw: 23.1% · Away win: 44.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Sintrense 1640; AVS 1688. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #674 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Taça de Portugal · Sunday, Sep 20 2026
· 14:00
Sintrense
Elo 1640
0
-
2
AVS
Elo 1688
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
-48
Elo rating comparison
Sintrense1640
AVS1688
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Sintrense
—Draws
—AVS
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
44% conf.
CORRECT
Home
32%
Draw
23%
Away
44%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
25%
Draw
41%
Away
34%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Win to Nil
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.