How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Villarreal, at 65.2%. The other outcomes represent 34.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 65.2% · Draw: 19.1% · Away win: 15.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Villarreal 2063; Levante 1938. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #674 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
La Liga · Sunday, Sep 20 2026
· 16:30
Villarreal
Elo 2063
3
-
1
Levante
Elo 1938
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+125
H2H (8)
8H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Villarreal2063
Levante1938
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
8Villarreal
0Draws
0Levante
8 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
65% conf.
CORRECT
Home
65%
@ 1.50
Draw
19%
@ 4.62
Away
16%
@ 5.71
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
56%
@ 1.57
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
91% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
9%
No
91%
Home Clean Sheet
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Double Chance 1X
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
@ 1.14
No
15%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Half-Time Result
50% conf.
WRONG
Home
50%
@ 1.95
Draw
34%
@ 2.56
Away
16%
@ 5.24
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
@ 1.23
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
86%
@ 1.12
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
@ 1.46
No
29%
Over 3.5 Goals
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
40%
No
60%
Home Win to Nil
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.