How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is SC Braga, at 49.2%. The other outcomes represent 50.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 25.8% · Draw: 25.1% · Away win: 49.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Santa Clara 1872; SC Braga 2104. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #674 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primeira Liga · Sunday, Sep 20 2026
· 17:00
Santa Clara
Elo 1872
0
-
0
SC Braga
Elo 2104
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
4D
0L
Away Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Elo Advantage
-231
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Santa Clara1872
SC Braga2104
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Santa Clara
0Draws
0SC Braga
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
49% conf.
WRONG
Home
26%
@ 3.62
Draw
25%
@ 3.11
Away
49%
@ 2.10
Both Teams to Score
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
27%
No
73%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
@ 1.26
No
22%
Half-Time Result
48% conf.
CORRECT
Home
19%
@ 4.45
Draw
48%
@ 1.94
Away
33%
@ 2.77
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
@ 1.52
No
40%
HT Over 1.5
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Over 1.5 Goals
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
72%
@ 1.46
No
28%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 3.5 Goals
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Win to Nil
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.