How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Australia, at 39.0%. The other outcomes represent 61.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 39% · Draw: 23.6% · Away win: 37.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Australia 1798; Brazil 1895. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–4. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Friendlies · Tuesday, Sep 29 2026
· 10:00
Australia
Elo 1798
2
-
4
Brazil
Elo 1895
FT
HT 2-2
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-97
H2H (4)
0H
4D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Australia1798
Brazil1895
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Australia
4Draws
0Brazil
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
39%
Draw
24%
Away
37%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Half-Time Result
49% conf.
CORRECT
Home
32%
Draw
49%
Away
20%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
WRONG
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
31%
No
69%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
33%
No
67%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.