How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Andranik, at 61.4%. The other outcomes represent 38.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 20.9% · Draw: 17.7% · Away win: 61.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Ararat-Armenia II 1327; Andranik 1655. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–4. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
First League · Thursday, Oct 8 2026
· 11:30
Ararat-Armenia II
Elo 1327
1
-
4
Andranik
Elo 1655
FT
HT 1-3
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-328
Elo rating comparison
Ararat-Armenia II1327
Andranik1655
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Ararat-Armenia II
—Draws
—Andranik
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
61% conf.
CORRECT
Home
21%
Draw
18%
Away
61%
Both Teams to Score
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
Away Clean Sheet
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Clean Sheet
91% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
9%
No
91%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance X2
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
Half-Time Result
37% conf.
CORRECT
Home
25%
Draw
37%
Away
37%
HT Both Teams Score
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
36%
No
64%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 3.5 Goals
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
No
45%
Home Win to Nil
100% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
0%
No
100%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.