How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Jaguar U20, at 51.0%. The other outcomes represent 49.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 28.4% · Draw: 20.5% · Away win: 51%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Guarany U20 1396; Jaguar U20 1415. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Pernambucano - U20 · Wednesday, Sep 30 2026
· 18:00
Guarany U20
Elo 1396
vs
Jaguar U20
Elo 1415
Home Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
-19
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Guarany U201396
Jaguar U201415
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Guarany U20
2Draws
0Jaguar U20
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
51% conf.
Home
28%
Draw
21%
Away
51%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Clean Sheet
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
Home
22%
Draw
33%
Away
45%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
51% conf.
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
Yes
87%
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
Yes
62%
No
38%
Over 3.5 Goals
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.