How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Nautico U20, at 64.9%. The other outcomes represent 35.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 64.9% · Draw: 22.9% · Away win: 12.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Nautico U20 1709; Petrolina U20 1494. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Pernambucano - U20 · Wednesday, Sep 30 2026
· 18:00
Nautico U20
Elo 1709
vs
Petrolina U20
Elo 1494
Home Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+215
H2H (4)
2H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Nautico U201709
Petrolina U201494
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Nautico U20
2Draws
0Petrolina U20
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
65% conf.
Home
65%
Draw
23%
Away
12%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
Yes
48%
No
52%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Double Chance 1X
89% conf.
Yes
89%
No
11%
Double Chance X2
68% conf.
Yes
32%
No
68%
Half-Time Result
48% conf.
Home
48%
Draw
36%
Away
17%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
64% conf.
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
60% conf.
Yes
40%
No
60%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.