How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Sport Recife U20, at 68.4%. The other outcomes represent 31.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 68.4% · Draw: 19.7% · Away win: 11.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Sport Recife U20 1766; Academica Vitoria U20 1539. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Pernambucano - U20 · Wednesday, Sep 30 2026
· 18:00
Sport Recife U20
Elo 1766
vs
Academica Vitoria U20
Elo 1539
Home Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
+228
Elo rating comparison
Sport Recife U201766
Academica Vitoria U201539
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Sport Recife U20
—Draws
—Academica Vitoria U20
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
68% conf.
Home
68%
Draw
20%
Away
12%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Away Clean Sheet
87% conf.
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Clean Sheet
51% conf.
Yes
51%
No
49%
Double Chance 1X
89% conf.
Yes
89%
No
11%
Double Chance X2
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
Home
47%
Draw
40%
Away
13%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
76% conf.
Yes
76%
No
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.