How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is El Porvenir, at 37.9%. The other outcomes represent 62.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 33.4% · Draw: 28.6% · Away win: 37.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Deportivo Muñiz 1272; El Porvenir 1353. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera C · Tuesday, Sep 29 2026
· 18:00
Deportivo Muñiz
Elo 1272
vs
El Porvenir
Elo 1353
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
-82
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Deportivo Muñiz1272
El Porvenir1353
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Deportivo Muñiz
0Draws
2El Porvenir
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
38% conf.
Home
33%
Draw
29%
Away
38%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
Yes
49%
No
51%
Away Clean Sheet
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Clean Sheet
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
Home
27%
Draw
46%
Away
27%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
HT Over 1.5
68% conf.
Yes
32%
No
68%
Over 1.5 Goals
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 3.5 Goals
75% conf.
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.