How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is St. Kitts and Nevis, at 44.9%. The other outcomes represent 55.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 44.9% · Draw: 24.1% · Away win: 31.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: St. Kitts and Nevis 1384; Grenada 1346. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
CONCACAF Nations League · Tuesday, Sep 29 2026
· 00:00
St. Kitts and Nevis
Elo 1384
3
-
0
Grenada
Elo 1346
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Elo Advantage
+37
Elo rating comparison
St. Kitts and Nevis1384
Grenada1346
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—St. Kitts and Nevis
—Draws
—Grenada
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
45% conf.
CORRECT
Home
45%
Draw
24%
Away
31%
Both Teams to Score
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
No
42%
Half-Time Result
37% conf.
CORRECT
Home
37%
Draw
34%
Away
29%
HT Both Teams Score
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 1.5 Goals
91% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
91%
No
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
Over 3.5 Goals
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.