How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Alianza FC, at 41.2%. The other outcomes represent 58.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 41.2% · Draw: 29% · Away win: 29.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Alianza FC 1589; Independiente de La Chorrera 1584. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Panameña de Fútbol · Tuesday, Sep 29 2026
· 01:00
Alianza FC
Elo 1589
2
-
0
Independiente de La Chorrera
Elo 1584
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Elo Advantage
+5
H2H (5)
2H
3D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Alianza FC1589
Independiente de La Chorrera1584
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Alianza FC
3Draws
0Independiente de La Chorrera
5 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
41% conf.
CORRECT
Home
41%
Draw
29%
Away
30%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Clean Sheet
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
31%
No
69%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Double Chance X2
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
No
41%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
CORRECT
Home
30%
Draw
41%
Away
29%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Over 1.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 3.5 Goals
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.