How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Kataller Toyama, at 35.2%. The other outcomes represent 64.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 35.2% · Draw: 29.9% · Away win: 34.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Kataller Toyama 1595; Urawa 1742. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–3. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
J-League Cup · Tuesday, Sep 29 2026
· 10:00
Kataller Toyama
Elo 1595
2
-
3
Urawa
Elo 1742
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-147
Elo rating comparison
Kataller Toyama1595
Urawa1742
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Kataller Toyama
—Draws
—Urawa
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
35% conf.
WRONG
Home
35%
Draw
30%
Away
35%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Half-Time Result
37% conf.
CORRECT
Home
27%
Draw
36%
Away
37%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
43%
No
57%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.