How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Iceland U17, at 39.0%. The other outcomes represent 61.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 35.2% · Draw: 25.7% · Away win: 39%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Greece U17 1513; Iceland U17 1536. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–3. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification · Tuesday, Sep 29 2026
· 12:00
Greece U17
Elo 1513
2
-
3
Iceland U17
Elo 1536
FT
HT 2-2
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
-23
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Greece U171513
Iceland U171536
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Greece U17
0Draws
2Iceland U17
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
CORRECT
Home
35%
Draw
26%
Away
39%
Both Teams to Score
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Double Chance 1X
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
CORRECT
Home
27%
Draw
38%
Away
34%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
No
37%
Over 3.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.