How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Charlton Athletic U21, at 51.4%. The other outcomes represent 48.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 51.4% · Draw: 23.3% · Away win: 25.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Charlton Athletic U21 1537; Millwall U21 1451. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Professional Development League · Tuesday, Sep 29 2026
· 12:00
Charlton Athletic U21
Elo 1537
1
-
0
Millwall U21
Elo 1451
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
+86
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Charlton Athletic U211537
Millwall U211451
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Charlton Athletic U21
0Draws
0Millwall U21
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
51% conf.
CORRECT
Home
51%
Draw
23%
Away
25%
Both Teams to Score
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
62%
No
38%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
29%
No
71%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
No
49%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
42%
Draw
34%
Away
23%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
WRONG
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
72%
No
28%
Over 3.5 Goals
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.