How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Coventry City U21, at 51.4%. The other outcomes represent 48.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 51.4% · Draw: 24.9% · Away win: 23.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Coventry City U21 1424; Colchester United U21 1342. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Professional Development League · Tuesday, Sep 29 2026
· 12:00
Coventry City U21
Elo 1424
1
-
0
Colchester United U21
Elo 1342
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
+82
Elo rating comparison
Coventry City U211424
Colchester United U211342
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Coventry City U21
—Draws
—Colchester United U21
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
51% conf.
CORRECT
Home
51%
Draw
25%
Away
24%
Both Teams to Score
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
70%
No
30%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
CORRECT
Home
46%
Draw
32%
Away
22%
HT Both Teams Score
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
HT Over 0.5
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
63%
No
37%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
WRONG
Yes
89%
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 3.5 Goals
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
No
45%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.