How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Peterborough United U21, at 53.1%. The other outcomes represent 46.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 53.1% · Draw: 21.5% · Away win: 25.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Peterborough United U21 1478; Fleetwood Town U21 1309. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Professional Development League · Tuesday, Sep 29 2026
· 12:00
Peterborough United U21
Elo 1478
0
-
1
Fleetwood Town U21
Elo 1309
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
+169
H2H (1)
0H
0D
1A
Elo rating comparison
Peterborough United U211478
Fleetwood Town U211309
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Peterborough United U21
0Draws
1Fleetwood Town U21
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
53% conf.
WRONG
Home
53%
Draw
21%
Away
25%
Both Teams to Score
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
71%
No
29%
Away Clean Sheet
87% conf.
WRONG
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Clean Sheet
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
WRONG
Home
44%
Draw
32%
Away
25%
HT Both Teams Score
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
HT Over 0.5
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 1.5 Goals
91% conf.
WRONG
Yes
91%
No
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
72%
No
28%
Over 3.5 Goals
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.