How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Transport United, at 42.3%. The other outcomes represent 57.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 36.8% · Draw: 20.9% · Away win: 42.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Drukpa 1568; Transport United 1677. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Tuesday, Sep 29 2026
· 12:00
Drukpa
Elo 1568
1
-
1
Transport United
Elo 1677
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
-109
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Drukpa1568
Transport United1677
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Drukpa
0Draws
2Transport United
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
37%
Draw
21%
Away
42%
Both Teams to Score
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Away Clean Sheet
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Clean Sheet
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
No
38%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
WRONG
Home
32%
Draw
38%
Away
30%
HT Both Teams Score
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 1.5 Goals
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
88%
No
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 3.5 Goals
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.