How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is UMM Salal, at 52.9%. The other outcomes represent 47.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 24.2% · Draw: 22.9% · Away win: 52.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Al-Khor 1432; UMM Salal 1589. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
QSL Cup · Tuesday, Sep 29 2026
· 15:00
Al-Khor
Elo 1432
0
-
2
UMM Salal
Elo 1589
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-157
H2H (4)
4H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Al-Khor1432
UMM Salal1589
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Al-Khor
0Draws
0UMM Salal
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
53% conf.
CORRECT
Home
24%
Draw
23%
Away
53%
Both Teams to Score
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
67%
No
33%
Away Clean Sheet
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
23%
Draw
35%
Away
42%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
62%
No
38%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Home Win to Nil
92% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
8%
No
92%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.