How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Cape Verde Islands, at 60.3%. The other outcomes represent 39.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 60.3% · Draw: 21.7% · Away win: 18%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Cape Verde Islands 1645; Rwanda 1491. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Tuesday, Sep 29 2026
· 16:00
Cape Verde Islands
Elo 1645
1
-
2
Rwanda
Elo 1491
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
+155
Elo rating comparison
Cape Verde Islands1645
Rwanda1491
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Cape Verde Islands
—Draws
—Rwanda
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
60% conf.
WRONG
Home
60%
Draw
22%
Away
18%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Clean Sheet
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
42%
No
58%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
CORRECT
Home
40%
Draw
44%
Away
15%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.