How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is England U19, at 70.2%. The other outcomes represent 29.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 70.2% · Draw: 19.7% · Away win: 10.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: England U19 1789; Norway U19 1631. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Friendlies · Tuesday, Sep 29 2026
· 14:00
England U19
Elo 1789
2
-
1
Norway U19
Elo 1631
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Away Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Elo Advantage
+158
Elo rating comparison
England U191789
Norway U191631
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—England U19
—Draws
—Norway U19
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
70% conf.
CORRECT
Home
70%
Draw
20%
Away
10%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
91% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
9%
No
91%
Home Clean Sheet
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Half-Time Result
54% conf.
CORRECT
Home
54%
Draw
32%
Away
14%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
87%
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Over 3.5 Goals
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.