How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Atl. Rafaela 2, at 51.9%. The other outcomes represent 48.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 51.9% · Draw: 21.4% · Away win: 26.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Atl. Rafaela 2 1409; Ferro 2 1386. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Reserve League · Tuesday, Sep 29 2026
· 18:30
Atl. Rafaela 2
Elo 1409
vs
Ferro 2
Elo 1386
Home Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
+22
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Atl. Rafaela 21409
Ferro 21386
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Atl. Rafaela 2
0Draws
2Ferro 2
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
52% conf.
Home
52%
Draw
21%
Away
27%
Both Teams to Score
62% conf.
Yes
62%
No
38%
Away Clean Sheet
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Clean Sheet
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
Home
36%
Draw
38%
Away
26%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.