How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Estudiantes La Plata Res, at 49.4%. The other outcomes represent 50.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 49.4% · Draw: 26.5% · Away win: 24.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Estudiantes La Plata Res 1575; Defensa y Justicia Res. 1485. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Reserve League · Tuesday, Sep 29 2026
· 18:00
Estudiantes La Plata Res
Elo 1575
vs
Defensa y Justicia Res.
Elo 1485
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Elo Advantage
+90
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Estudiantes La Plata Res1575
Defensa y Justicia Res.1485
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Estudiantes La Plata Res
2Draws
0Defensa y Justicia Res.
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
49% conf.
Home
49%
Draw
26%
Away
24%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
Yes
51%
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Clean Sheet
68% conf.
Yes
32%
No
68%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
Home
43%
Draw
38%
Away
19%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
Home Win to Nil
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.