How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is San Lorenzo Res., at 57.4%. The other outcomes represent 42.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 57.4% · Draw: 24.2% · Away win: 18.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: San Lorenzo Res. 1541; Aldosivi Res. 1389. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Reserve League · Tuesday, Sep 29 2026
· 18:00
San Lorenzo Res.
Elo 1541
vs
Aldosivi Res.
Elo 1389
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
1W
4D
0L
Elo Advantage
+152
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
San Lorenzo Res.1541
Aldosivi Res.1389
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2San Lorenzo Res.
0Draws
0Aldosivi Res.
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
57% conf.
Home
57%
Draw
24%
Away
18%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
Yes
49%
No
51%
Away Clean Sheet
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Clean Sheet
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
Yes
48%
No
52%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
Home
38%
Draw
47%
Away
15%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
67% conf.
Yes
67%
No
33%
HT Over 1.5
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 3.5 Goals
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.