How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Gimnasia La Plata Res., at 49.8%. The other outcomes represent 50.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 25.4% · Draw: 24.8% · Away win: 49.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Tigre Res. 1409; Gimnasia La Plata Res. 1602. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Reserve League · Tuesday, Sep 29 2026
· 18:00
Tigre Res.
Elo 1409
vs
Gimnasia La Plata Res.
Elo 1602
Home Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
-194
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Tigre Res.1409
Gimnasia La Plata Res.1602
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Tigre Res.
0Draws
0Gimnasia La Plata Res.
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
50% conf.
Home
25%
Draw
25%
Away
50%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
71% conf.
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Clean Sheet
84% conf.
Yes
16%
No
84%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
Home
20%
Draw
40%
Away
40%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.