How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is England, at 56.9%. The other outcomes represent 43.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 26% · Draw: 17.1% · Away win: 56.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Czech Republic 1614; England 1888. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA Nations League · Tuesday, Sep 29 2026
· 18:45
Czech Republic
Elo 1614
vs
England
Elo 1888
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
-273
Elo rating comparison
Czech Republic1614
England1888
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Czech Republic
—Draws
—England
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
57% conf.
Home
26%
@ 4.78
Draw
17%
@ 3.89
Away
57%
@ 1.62
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
Yes
51%
@ 1.76
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Clean Sheet
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
79% conf.
Yes
79%
@ 1.16
No
21%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
Home
19%
@ 5.00
Draw
34%
@ 2.36
Away
47%
@ 2.07
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
Yes
76%
@ 1.31
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
57% conf.
Yes
57%
@ 2.44
No
43%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
Yes
84%
@ 1.21
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
Yes
61%
@ 1.68
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
100% conf.
Yes
0%
No
100%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.