How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Albania, at 56.0%. The other outcomes represent 44.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 29% · Draw: 15% · Away win: 56%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: San Marino 983; Albania 1520. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA Nations League · Tuesday, Sep 29 2026
· 18:45
San Marino
Elo 983
vs
Albania
Elo 1520
Home Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
-538
Elo rating comparison
San Marino983
Albania1520
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—San Marino
—Draws
—Albania
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
56% conf.
Home
29%
@ 71.00
Draw
15%
@ 16.00
Away
56%
@ 1.03
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
60% conf.
Yes
40%
No
60%
Home Clean Sheet
89% conf.
Yes
11%
No
89%
Double Chance 1X
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance X2
86% conf.
Yes
86%
No
14%
Half-Time Result
62% conf.
Home
14%
@ 46.00
Draw
23%
@ 3.75
Away
62%
@ 1.22
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
81% conf.
Yes
81%
@ 1.20
No
19%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
68% conf.
Yes
68%
@ 1.36
No
32%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
100% conf.
Yes
0%
No
100%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.