How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Finland, at 59.2%. The other outcomes represent 40.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 59.2% · Draw: 25.3% · Away win: 15.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Finland 1486; Belarus 1450. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA Nations League · Tuesday, Sep 29 2026
· 16:00
Finland
Elo 1486
0
-
0
Belarus
Elo 1450
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+36
Elo rating comparison
Finland1486
Belarus1450
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Finland
—Draws
—Belarus
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
59% conf.
WRONG
Home
59%
Draw
25%
Away
16%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf.
WRONG
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Double Chance 1X
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
45%
No
55%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
CORRECT
Home
40%
Draw
43%
Away
16%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
WRONG
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
63%
No
37%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Home Win to Nil
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.