How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Slovakia, at 71.8%. The other outcomes represent 28.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 71.8% · Draw: 15.5% · Away win: 12.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Slovakia 1582; Kazakhstan 1372. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA Nations League · Tuesday, Sep 29 2026
· 18:45
Slovakia
Elo 1582
vs
Kazakhstan
Elo 1372
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Elo Advantage
+210
Elo rating comparison
Slovakia1582
Kazakhstan1372
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Slovakia
—Draws
—Kazakhstan
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
72% conf.
Home
72%
@ 1.29
Draw
16%
@ 5.00
Away
13%
@ 11.00
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
87% conf.
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Clean Sheet
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Double Chance 1X
97% conf.
Yes
97%
@ 1.05
No
3%
Double Chance X2
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
Half-Time Result
51% conf.
Home
51%
@ 1.73
Draw
38%
@ 2.30
Away
11%
@ 8.50
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
Yes
74%
@ 1.36
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
Yes
87%
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
Yes
61%
@ 1.95
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.