How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Scotland, at 38.9%. The other outcomes represent 61.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 38.9% · Draw: 27% · Away win: 34.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Scotland 1636; Switzerland 1814. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA Nations League · Tuesday, Sep 29 2026
· 18:45
Scotland
Elo 1636
vs
Switzerland
Elo 1814
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
-178
Elo rating comparison
Scotland1636
Switzerland1814
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Scotland
—Draws
—Switzerland
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
Home
39%
@ 2.95
Draw
27%
@ 3.17
Away
34%
@ 2.27
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
Yes
55%
@ 1.71
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
64% conf.
Yes
36%
No
64%
Home Clean Sheet
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
Double Chance 1X
54% conf.
Yes
54%
@ 1.56
No
46%
Double Chance X2
66% conf.
Yes
66%
@ 1.36
No
34%
Half-Time Result
50% conf.
Home
23%
@ 3.43
Draw
50%
@ 2.20
Away
27%
@ 2.81
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
64% conf.
Yes
64%
@ 1.34
No
36%
HT Over 1.5
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Over 1.5 Goals
76% conf.
Yes
76%
@ 1.25
No
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
Yes
53%
@ 1.85
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.