How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is AFC Fylde, at 42.5%. The other outcomes represent 57.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 42.5% · Draw: 18.8% · Away win: 38.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: AFC Fylde 1772; Carlisle 1743. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
National League · Tuesday, Sep 29 2026
· 18:45
AFC Fylde
Elo 1772
vs
Carlisle
Elo 1743
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
+29
Elo rating comparison
AFC Fylde1772
Carlisle1743
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—AFC Fylde
—Draws
—Carlisle
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
43% conf.
Home
43%
Draw
19%
Away
39%
Both Teams to Score
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Away Clean Sheet
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Clean Sheet
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Half-Time Result
35% conf.
Home
35%
Draw
34%
Away
31%
HT Both Teams Score
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
67% conf.
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
Yes
43%
No
57%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.