Gateshead vs Altrincham

National League · Tuesday, 29 Sep 2026 · 18:45

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Altrincham, at 44.2%. The other outcomes represent 55.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 29.6% · Draw: 26.2% · Away win: 44.2%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Gateshead 1515; Altrincham 1673. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

National League · Tuesday, Sep 29 2026 · 18:45
Gateshead
Elo 1515
vs
Altrincham
Elo 1673
Home Form (5)
0W 2D 3L
Away Form (5)
1W 2D 2L
Elo Advantage
-158
H2H (2)
0H 0D 2A

Elo rating comparison

Gateshead1515
Altrincham1673

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

0Gateshead
0Draws
2Altrincham

2 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
44% conf.
Home
30%
Draw
26%
Away
44%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
85% conf.
Yes
15%
No
85%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
Home
22%
Draw
39%
Away
38%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Recent results

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Verified performance

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

Are predictions guaranteed?

No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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