AFC Hornchurch vs Aldershot Town

National League · Tuesday, 29 Sep 2026 · 18:45

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is AFC Hornchurch, at 52.5%. The other outcomes represent 47.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 52.5% · Draw: 20.6% · Away win: 26.9%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: AFC Hornchurch 1737; Aldershot Town 1656. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

National League · Tuesday, Sep 29 2026 · 18:45
AFC Hornchurch
Elo 1737
vs
Aldershot Town
Elo 1656
Home Form (5)
1W 2D 2L
Away Form (5)
1W 1D 3L
Elo Advantage
+80

Elo rating comparison

AFC Hornchurch1737
Aldershot Town1656

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

—AFC Hornchurch
—Draws
—Aldershot Town

0 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
53% conf.
Home
53%
Draw
21%
Away
27%
Both Teams to Score
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
Away Clean Sheet
89% conf.
Yes
11%
No
89%
Home Clean Sheet
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
Home
46%
Draw
29%
Away
25%
HT Both Teams Score
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
51% conf.
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
Yes
89%
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 3.5 Goals
51% conf.
Yes
51%
No
49%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

Are predictions guaranteed?

No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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