How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is AFC Emley, at 40.0%. The other outcomes represent 60.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 40% · Draw: 21.8% · Away win: 38.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: AFC Emley 1490; Workington 1551. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Non League Premier - Northern · Tuesday, Sep 29 2026
· 18:45
AFC Emley
Elo 1490
vs
Workington
Elo 1551
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-60
Elo rating comparison
AFC Emley1490
Workington1551
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—AFC Emley
—Draws
—Workington
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
40% conf.
Home
40%
Draw
22%
Away
38%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Clean Sheet
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
Double Chance 1X
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Half-Time Result
37% conf.
Home
37%
Draw
32%
Away
31%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
67% conf.
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
Yes
43%
No
57%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.