How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Alvechurch, at 44.2%. The other outcomes represent 55.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 44.2% · Draw: 27.2% · Away win: 28.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Alvechurch 1635; Stourbridge 1581. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Non League Premier - Southern Central · Tuesday, Sep 29 2026
· 18:45
Alvechurch
Elo 1635
vs
Stourbridge
Elo 1581
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+54
H2H (3)
0H
2D
1A
Elo rating comparison
Alvechurch1635
Stourbridge1581
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Alvechurch
2Draws
1Stourbridge
3 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
44% conf.
Home
44%
Draw
27%
Away
29%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
Yes
59%
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Clean Sheet
68% conf.
Yes
32%
No
68%
Double Chance 1X
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
Home
36%
Draw
39%
Away
25%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf.
Yes
79%
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
68% conf.
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.