How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Leighton Town, at 45.9%. The other outcomes represent 54.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 31.4% · Draw: 22.6% · Away win: 45.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Hitchin Town 1516; Leighton Town 1641. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Non League Premier - Southern Central · Tuesday, Sep 29 2026
· 18:45
Hitchin Town
Elo 1516
vs
Leighton Town
Elo 1641
Home Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
-126
H2H (1)
1H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Hitchin Town1516
Leighton Town1641
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
1Hitchin Town
0Draws
0Leighton Town
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
46% conf.
Home
31%
Draw
23%
Away
46%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
75% conf.
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Clean Sheet
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
68% conf.
Yes
68%
No
32%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
Home
27%
Draw
35%
Away
38%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.