Belize vs St. Vincent / Grenadines

CONCACAF Nations League · Wednesday, 30 Sep 2026 · 02:00

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is St. Vincent / Grenadines, at 42.6%. The other outcomes represent 57.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 35.9% · Draw: 21.5% · Away win: 42.6%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Belize 1412; St. Vincent / Grenadines 1455. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

CONCACAF Nations League · Wednesday, Sep 30 2026 · 02:00
Belize
Elo 1412
vs
St. Vincent / Grenadines
Elo 1455
Home Form (5)
2W 0D 3L
Away Form (5)
3W 0D 2L
Elo Advantage
-44

Elo rating comparison

Belize1412
St. Vincent / Grenadines1455

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

—Belize
—Draws
—St. Vincent / Grenadines

0 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
43% conf.
Home
36%
Draw
21%
Away
43%
Both Teams to Score
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
Away Clean Sheet
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Clean Sheet
84% conf.
Yes
16%
No
84%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
62% conf.
Yes
62%
No
38%
Half-Time Result
35% conf.
Home
32%
Draw
35%
Away
33%
HT Both Teams Score
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
HT Over 0.5
81% conf.
Yes
81%
No
19%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 1.5 Goals
88% conf.
Yes
88%
No
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
Over 3.5 Goals
56% conf.
Yes
56%
No
44%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

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No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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