How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Hapoel Migdal HaEmek, at 67.5%. The other outcomes represent 32.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 18.7% · Draw: 13.8% · Away win: 67.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Hapoel Ironi Arraba 1394; Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 1580. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Alef · Wednesday, Sep 30 2026
· 12:30
Hapoel Ironi Arraba
Elo 1394
vs
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
Elo 1580
Home Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-186
H2H (1)
0H
0D
1A
Elo rating comparison
Hapoel Ironi Arraba1394
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek1580
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Hapoel Ironi Arraba
0Draws
1Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
67% conf.
Home
19%
Draw
14%
Away
67%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Clean Sheet
84% conf.
Yes
16%
No
84%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
Home
19%
Draw
37%
Away
44%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
51% conf.
Yes
51%
No
49%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
60% conf.
Yes
40%
No
60%
Home Win to Nil
92% conf.
Yes
8%
No
92%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.