How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Maccabi K. Ata Bialik, at 44.4%. The other outcomes represent 55.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 35.5% · Draw: 20.1% · Away win: 44.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Hapoel Bnei Musmus 1543; Maccabi K. Ata Bialik 1640. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Alef · Wednesday, Sep 30 2026
· 14:30
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Elo 1543
vs
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik
Elo 1640
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
-97
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Hapoel Bnei Musmus1543
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik1640
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Hapoel Bnei Musmus
0Draws
0Maccabi K. Ata Bialik
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
44% conf.
Home
36%
Draw
20%
Away
44%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
68% conf.
Yes
68%
No
32%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
Home
29%
Draw
38%
Away
33%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 1.5 Goals
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
Yes
57%
No
43%
Over 3.5 Goals
60% conf.
Yes
40%
No
60%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.