How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Hapoel Ironi Karmiel, at 40.5%. The other outcomes represent 59.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 31.1% · Draw: 28.4% · Away win: 40.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 1467; Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 1552. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Alef · Thursday, Oct 1 2026
· 16:30
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Elo 1467
vs
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
Elo 1552
Home Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Elo Advantage
-85
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm1467
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel1552
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0Draws
0Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
40% conf.
Home
31%
Draw
28%
Away
40%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
71% conf.
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Clean Sheet
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
Double Chance 1X
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Double Chance X2
70% conf.
Yes
70%
No
30%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
Home
28%
Draw
38%
Away
34%
HT Both Teams Score
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.