How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is FC Jerusalem, at 40.7%. The other outcomes represent 59.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 36.2% · Draw: 23.1% · Away win: 40.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Tzeirey Tira 1538; FC Jerusalem 1625. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Alef · Wednesday, Sep 30 2026
· 18:00
Tzeirey Tira
Elo 1538
vs
FC Jerusalem
Elo 1625
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Elo Advantage
-86
H2H (1)
1H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Tzeirey Tira1538
FC Jerusalem1625
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
1Tzeirey Tira
0Draws
0FC Jerusalem
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
41% conf.
Home
36%
Draw
23%
Away
41%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
Double Chance 1X
59% conf.
Yes
59%
No
41%
Double Chance X2
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
Home
28%
Draw
38%
Away
34%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf.
Yes
79%
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
Yes
62%
No
38%
Over 3.5 Goals
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Win to Nil
89% conf.
Yes
11%
No
89%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.