How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Thimphu, at 46.9%. The other outcomes represent 53.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 30.6% · Draw: 22.5% · Away win: 46.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Bhutan U19 1496; Thimphu 1553. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Wednesday, Sep 30 2026
· 12:00
Bhutan U19
Elo 1496
vs
Thimphu
Elo 1553
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Elo Advantage
-58
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Bhutan U191496
Thimphu1553
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Bhutan U19
0Draws
0Thimphu
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
47% conf.
Home
31%
Draw
23%
Away
47%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
75% conf.
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Clean Sheet
85% conf.
Yes
15%
No
85%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
67% conf.
Yes
67%
No
33%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
Home
23%
Draw
35%
Away
42%
HT Both Teams Score
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
HT Over 0.5
81% conf.
Yes
81%
No
19%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 1.5 Goals
88% conf.
Yes
88%
No
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
68% conf.
Yes
68%
No
32%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
Yes
43%
No
57%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.