How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Ryazan, at 59.7%. The other outcomes represent 40.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 59.7% · Draw: 24.7% · Away win: 15.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Ryazan 1570; Zenit Penza 1312. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Second League - Group 3 · Wednesday, Sep 30 2026
· 16:00
Ryazan
Elo 1570
vs
Zenit Penza
Elo 1312
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
3D
2L
Elo Advantage
+259
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Ryazan1570
Zenit Penza1312
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Ryazan
0Draws
0Zenit Penza
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
60% conf.
Home
60%
Draw
25%
Away
16%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
Yes
46%
No
54%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Double Chance 1X
85% conf.
Yes
85%
No
15%
Double Chance X2
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
Home
45%
Draw
40%
Away
15%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
Yes
70%
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 3.5 Goals
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.