How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Vasco da Gama U20, at 57.8%. The other outcomes represent 42.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 20.2% · Draw: 22% · Away win: 57.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Madureira U20 1514; Vasco da Gama U20 1869. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Carioca U20 · Wednesday, Sep 30 2026
· 13:00
Madureira U20
Elo 1514
vs
Vasco da Gama U20
Elo 1869
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-355
H2H (3)
0H
0D
3A
Elo rating comparison
Madureira U201514
Vasco da Gama U201869
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Madureira U20
0Draws
3Vasco da Gama U20
3 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
58% conf.
Home
20%
Draw
22%
Away
58%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
Yes
46%
No
54%
Away Clean Sheet
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Home Clean Sheet
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance X2
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
Home
19%
Draw
39%
Away
43%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf.
Yes
68%
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
70% conf.
Yes
70%
No
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
89% conf.
Yes
11%
No
89%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.