Lithuania vs Andorra

Friendlies · Wednesday, 30 Sep 2026 · 16:00

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Lithuania, at 54.3%. The other outcomes represent 45.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 54.3% · Draw: 27.4% · Away win: 18.3%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Lithuania 1280; Andorra 1259. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

Friendlies · Wednesday, Sep 30 2026 · 16:00
Lithuania
Elo 1280
vs
Andorra
Elo 1259
Home Form (5)
1W 2D 2L
Away Form (5)
1W 1D 3L
Elo Advantage
+21

Elo rating comparison

Lithuania1280
Andorra1259

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

—Lithuania
—Draws
—Andorra

0 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
54% conf.
Home
54%
Draw
27%
Away
18%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
Home
38%
Draw
45%
Away
17%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
68% conf.
Yes
32%
No
68%
Over 1.5 Goals
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Recent results

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Verified performance

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

Are predictions guaranteed?

No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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